How much risk is out there?

Posted by Editor on Aug 16, 2010 | 3 Comments

ShareNot much gloom, it appears. Undoubtedly, risk together with uncertainty has been plaguing the markets as of late. Commentators cannot agree whether the next few months will have markets stabilizing or dropping further, however, the general feeling is one of bearishness. Furthering this sentiment there is the negativity associated to the present administration and we are already hearing loud and clear the bear economists... 

Want to bet against Warren?

Posted by Editor on Aug 14, 2010 | Leave a Comment

ShareEmerging bonds are indicating a strong growth bias. There is recent chatter of the US economy going into a double-dip recession or even a Japanese-style “lost decade”. For many others, deflation is the sure outcome of the current crisis and visions of the Great Depression abound. However, Warren Buffett has been shortening the duration of bonds held in his company’s portfolio under the belief that... 

Stocks and bonds tug-of-war

Posted by Editor on Aug 13, 2010 | Leave a Comment

ShareStocks struggle while bonds continue to attract investment money. Government bonds and the dollar are rallying as investors scramble into safe haven assets a day after the Federal Reserve pledged to buy more Treasurys to help keep the economic recovery on track. Stocks, in spite of many headwinds continue to try to rally. However, these two forces -stocks and bonds- have traditionally pulled in opposite directions. Tbonds... 

Bulls or Bears?

Posted by Editor on Aug 10, 2010 | 1 Comment

ShareBracing for the bears? A lot has been said about an economy that has been anemic for the last year or so. But is it really? The fact that the jobs picture is not improving as fast as some have predicted does not necessarily mean that companies will not be making profits or that they aren’t sustainable. Looking at the big picture, the indexes are not too far -nominally- from where they were over a decade ago. As... 

Stock Market Whipsaws

Posted by Editor on Aug 09, 2010 | Leave a Comment

ShareWatch out for whipsaws! Since trading has become a “news/events” game related to political/economical announcements more than anything else, it is always useful to keep the larger perspective in check to prevent seller’s remorse. That is, selling because of market indecision… to later realize that selling was the wrong course of action. Solid support-resistance level. So I tested a new long... 

Momentum: Nanometrics at the start of a run?

Posted by Editor on Aug 09, 2010 | Leave a Comment

ShareIs Nanometrics another PWER or CRUS? Like the momentum crowd likes to say “follow the earnings”. Here is a case where earnings may also point to a great value play. Nanometrics has a healthy balance sheet with low debt and a strong cash position. And now that there has been an explosion in earnings there is more risk in overanalyzing this buying opportunity than in not taking quick action. Although on... 
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